ECB rate cuts are supportive of growth Current uncertainties emphasise the dependence on fresh data on the economy Will base decisions on assessment of inflation outlook, dynamics of core inflation, and also the strength of monetary policy transmission To sum up, he’s just saying that the ECB is on the right path in cutting rates.
The USDCAD closed the week at 1.3558. The current price is a little higher at 1.3580. The high price for the week reached 1.3622 on Wednesday. That move took the price above a swing area with the high at 1.36188, but quickly reversed lower. The high price stalled ahead of the 38.2% of the move
China retail sales, industrial output, investment data for August 2024 – another round of disappointing results. Retail Sales +2.1% (YoY) (Aug) expected 2.5%, prior 2.7% Industrial Production +4.5% (YoY) (Aug) expected 4.8%, prior 5.1% Fixed Asset Investment +3.4$(YTD) (YoY) (Aug) expected 3.5%, prior 3.6% Unemployment 5.3% expected 5.2%, prior 5.2% Also published were home prices
High risk warning: Foreign exchange trading carries a high level of risk that may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage creates additional risk and loss exposure. Before you decide to trade foreign exchange, carefully consider your investment objectives, experience level, and risk tolerance. You could lose some or all your initial investment; do not
High risk warning: Foreign exchange trading carries a high level of risk that may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage creates additional risk and loss exposure. Before you decide to trade foreign exchange, carefully consider your investment objectives, experience level, and risk tolerance. You could lose some or all your initial investment; do not
NASDAQ and S&P indices end the week with five straight days of gains As the day and week comes to a close, the JPY is ending the day as the strongest of the major currencies and the NZD is the weakest. The US is ending the day mixed with most of the declines coming vs
The comments from Makhlouf are in-line with the views expressed by ECBs Lagarde. The ECB is sittiong on the fence and waiting….even if it might be uncomfortable. This article was written by Greg Michalowski at www.forexlive.com. Source link
The price of crude oil is now trading in negative territory and $69.08. That is down from a high of $70.32. Looking at the hourly chart, the price action this week did move above its 200-hour moving average (currently at $68.93) on its way to the high today. That move higher today also exceeded above
The CNBC retail monitor sees consumer spending cooling, but still higher: Retail sales ex auto and gas MoM: +0.5% versus +0.7% last month. Retail Sales YoY ex auto and gas: +2.1% versus +0.9% last month Core Retail Sales MoM: 0.2% versus +1.0% last month Core Retail Sales YoY: on .9% versus 1.7% last month Looking
There is arguably just one to take note of on the day, as highlighted in bold. That being for AUD/USD at the 0.6740 level. It isn’t one that holds much technical significance though, so there might not be much in it. But if anything else, the expiries could keep price action locked in a little
High risk warning: Foreign exchange trading carries a high level of risk that may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage creates additional risk and loss exposure. Before you decide to trade foreign exchange, carefully consider your investment objectives, experience level, and risk tolerance. You could lose some or all your initial investment; do not
Fundamental Overview Yesterday, around 1:00 PM ET, WSJ’s Timiraos published an article which seemed like suggesting that a 50 bps cut is still being discussed. The market responded by raising 50 bps cut probabilities to around 43% from 13% before the news. Nick Timiraos is considered a Fed “insider”, so the market is attentive to
Prior -0.1%; revised to 0.0% The drop here fits with the continued softness in the euro area industrial sector, led by the struggles in Germany especially. Looking at the breakdown, intermediate goods dropped by 1.3%, capital goods by 1.6%, durable consumer goods by 2.8%. That was slightly offset by an increase in energy by 0.3%
Dudley was president and chief executive officer of the Federal Reserve Bank of New York from January 27, 2009, through to 2012. He also served as the vice chairman and was a permanent member of the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC). This article was written by Eamonn Sheridan at www.forexlive.com. Source link
The EURUSD is running to a new high for the day up to 1.10597. That has now taken the price of the pair above its 200-hour MA at 1.10563. Traders will be looking for more upside momentum on the break. The price is also moving away from the 100-hour MA AND the broken 38.2% of
High risk warning: Foreign exchange trading carries a high level of risk that may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage creates additional risk and loss exposure. Before you decide to trade foreign exchange, carefully consider your investment objectives, experience level, and risk tolerance. You could lose some or all your initial investment; do not
The WSJ Timiraos is out with an analysis of the upcoming Fed rate decision. The title of the article says it all with the author calling the decision a dilemma. That is does the Fed go big or small (or by 25 basis points or 50 basis points). Some of the highlights; Fed set to
The USDCAD is finding buyers against its rising 100 hour moving average currently at 1.35756 (see rising blue line on the chart below). Stay above that moving average will keep the buyers more in control. Also in play is a 200 day moving average at 1.35889. On the topside, there is work to do to
High risk warning: Foreign exchange trading carries a high level of risk that may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage creates additional risk and loss exposure. Before you decide to trade foreign exchange, carefully consider your investment objectives, experience level, and risk tolerance. You could lose some or all your initial investment; do not
There are quite a number to take note of, as highlighted in bold. The first ones are for EUR/USD and they are layered from 1.1000 through to 1.1050. That sort of keeps a lock on things until we get to the ECB later at least. That especially the extremely large one at the 1.1000 level,
High risk warning: Foreign exchange trading carries a high level of risk that may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage creates additional risk and loss exposure. Before you decide to trade foreign exchange, carefully consider your investment objectives, experience level, and risk tolerance. You could lose some or all your initial investment; do not
Fundamental Overview Yesterday, we got the US CPI report and, although as expected it didn’t have the same large impact as it used to, the core m/m figure surprised to the upside. The data triggered a repricing in interest rates expectations with the market now seeing just a 13% probability of a 50 bps cut
This is mainly to further reduce borrowing costs and to try and bolster consumption activity. Domestic demand conditions in China have suffered greatly ever since the Covid pandemic and there hasn’t been much of a revival in that area despite the world returning back to normal. The report says that some banks are already making
The People’s Bank of China set the onshore yuan (CNY) reference rate for the trading session ahead. USD/CNY is the onshore yuan. Its permitted to trade plus or minus 2% from this daily reference rate. CNH is the offshore yuan. USD /CNH has no restrictions on its trading range. A significantly stronger or weaker rate
The USDCHF has moved higher today and in the process, has stretched toward the 38.2% of the move down from the mid-August swing high. That retracement level comes in at 0.8517, and that is where sellers started to lean against of earlier today and on the most recent hourly bar. Getting above that level would
Japan Business Survey Index for Q3 2024: 4.5% prior -1.0% Earlier data: Japan PPI (August) -0.2% m/m (expected +0.0%) and +2.5% y/y (expected +2.8%) — Japan’s Quarterly Business Survey Index (BSI) measures the sentiment of business executives regarding the economic conditions in their industries. It is compiled by Japan’s Ministry of Finance and Cabinet Office
High risk warning: Foreign exchange trading carries a high level of risk that may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage creates additional risk and loss exposure. Before you decide to trade foreign exchange, carefully consider your investment objectives, experience level, and risk tolerance. You could lose some or all your initial investment; do not
The AUDUSD moved lower after the stronger core CPI data. On the break lower, the price moved below a cluster of technical levels including the 200 bar moving average on the 4-hour chart at 0.6653, the 100-day moving average of 0.6648, and the 38.2% retracement at 0.66422. That opened the door for further downward momentum,
High risk warning: Foreign exchange trading carries a high level of risk that may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage creates additional risk and loss exposure. Before you decide to trade foreign exchange, carefully consider your investment objectives, experience level, and risk tolerance. You could lose some or all your initial investment; do not
There is arguably just one to take note of on the day, as highlighted in bold. That being for EUR/USD at the 1.1000 level. Again, if anything else, it will help to act as a bit of a floor to price action before rolling off later in the day. That said, just be wary that
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